OBJECTIVE: To determine whether activation of hemostatic function (thrombosis and fibrinolysis) is associated with cognitive decline in older people. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 5804 people (age, 70-82 years) in the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER). Mean follow-up was 3.2 years, including annual measurement of speed of information processing (letter, digit coding, and Stroop), verbal memory (picture-word naming), and basic and instrumental activities of daily living. Raised levels of markers of thrombin generation (D-dimer and prothrombin fragment 1+2) were associated independently with increased rate of cognitive decline (eg, Stroop increased by 4.44 sec [SEM, 0.68] in bottom tertile of D-dimer compared to 5.46 [SEM, 0.71] in highest tertile; P<0.05) and deterioration in activities of daily living. This increased rate of decline was attenuated but not removed when subjects with incident nonfatal stroke were omitted from the analysis. It also persisted when adjustments were made for inflammation (C-reactive protein and IL-6). CONCLUSIONS: Older patients with increased markers of thrombin generation (D-dimer and prothrombin fragment 1+2) are at increased risk for cognitive decline and deterioration in ability to perform activities of daily living. This is likely attributable to increased risk of cerebral ischemic damage (including covert disease) associated with prothrombotic states.

OBJECTIVE: Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2)(Lp-PLA(2)) is an inflammatory biomarker that circulates mainly bound to LDL. We evaluated the association of Lp-PLA(2) with vascular events in the elderly where the importance of LDL is diminished as a risk factor for coronary disease. METHODS: Mass and activity of Lp-PLA(2) were related to risk over 3.2 years for vascular events (definite or suspected death from CHD, non-fatal MI, fatal or non-fatal stroke) in the 2804 men and 3000 women age 70-82 years in the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly (PROSPER). RESULTS: Lp-PLA(2) showed a moderate, positive association with risk of a vascular event with hazard ratios of 1.25 (confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.54) for mass and 1.39 (CI 1.14-1.70) for activity for top versus bottom quartile. Risk associations were attenuated when classical risk factors, lipids and inflammatory markers - C-reactive protein and white cell count - were included in the models. Lp-PLA(2) was unrelated to stroke risk. Inclusion of all three inflammatory markers in multivariate models negated the association of HDL cholesterol with risk (hazard ratio 0.98; CI 0.88-1.10) and increased prediction of coronary events; the C statistic rose from 63.2% to 64.4%(P<0.001). CONCLUSION: In elderly people Lp-PLA(2), alongside other inflammatory indices, is a potential biomarker for vascular events, particularly CHD.

Context: Associations between adiposity and circulating inflammation markers are assumed to be causal, although the direction of the relationship has not been proven. Objective: The aim of the study was to explore the causal direction of the relationship between adiposity and inflammation using a bidirectional Mendelian randomization approach. Methods: In the PROSPER study of 5804 elderly patients, we related C-reactive protein (CRP) single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)(rs1800947 and rs1205) and adiposity SNPs (FTO and MC4R) to body mass index (BMI) as well as circulating levels of CRP and leptin. We gave each individual two allele scores ranging from zero to 4, counting each pair of alleles related to CRP levels or BMI. Results: With increasing CRP allele score, there was a stepwise decrease in CRP levels (P for trend < 0.0001) and a 1.98 mg/liter difference between extremes of the allele score distribution, but there was no associated change in BMI or leptin levels (P >/= 0.89). By contrast, adiposity allele score was associated with 1) an increase in BMI (1.2 kg/m(2) difference between extremes; P for trend 0.002); 2) an increase in circulating leptin (5.77 ng/ml difference between extremes; P for trend 0.0027); and 3) increased CRP levels (1.24 mg/liter difference between extremes; P for trend 0.002). Conclusions: Greater adiposity conferred by FTO and MC4R SNPs led to higher CRP levels, with no evidence for any reverse pathway. Future studies should extend our findings to other circulating inflammatory parameters. This study illustrates the potential power of Mendelian randomization to dissect directions of causality between intercorrelated metabolic factors.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relation between area level social deprivation and ultrasound markers of atherosclerosis (common carotid intima-media thickness and plaque score), and to determine whether any differences can be explained by "classic"(currently recognised) or "emerging"(novel) cardiovascular risk factors. DESIGN: Cross sectional, population based study. SETTING: NHS Greater Glasgow Health Board area. PARTICIPANTS: 666 participants were selected on the basis of how their area ranked in the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004. Approximately equal numbers of participants from the most deprived areas and the least deprived areas were included, as well as equal numbers of men and women and equal numbers of participants from each age group studied (35-44, 45-54, and 55-64 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Carotid intima-media thickness and plaque score, as detected by ultrasound. RESULTS: The mean age and sex adjusted intima-media thickness was significantly higher in participants from the most deprived areas than in those from the least deprived areas (0.70 mm (standard deviation (SD) 0.16 mm) v 0.68 mm (SD 0.12 mm); P=0.015). On subgroup analysis, however, this difference was only apparent in the highest age tertile in men (56.3-66.5 years). The difference in unadjusted mean plaque score between participants from the most deprived and those from the least deprived areas was more striking than the difference in intima-media thickness (least deprived 1.0 (SD 1.5) v most deprived 1.7 (SD 2.0); P<0.0001). In addition, a significant difference in plaque score was apparent in the two highest age tertiles in men (46.8-56.2 years and 56.3-66.5 years; P=0.0073 and P<0.001) and the highest age tertile in women (56.3-66.5 years; P<0.001). The difference in intima-media thickness between most deprived and least deprived males remained significant after adjustment for classic risk factors, emerging risk factors, and individual level markers of socioeconomic status (P=0.010). Adjustment for classic risk factors and emerging cardiovascular risk factors, either alone or in combination, did not abolish the deprivation based difference in plaque presence (as a binary measure; adjusted odds ratio of 1.73, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 2.82). However, adjustment for classic risk factors and individual level markers of early life socioeconomic status abolished the difference in plaque presence between the most deprived and the least deprived individuals (adjusted odds ratio 0.94, 95% CI 0.54 to 1.65; P=0.84). CONCLUSIONS: Deprivation is associated with increased carotid plaque score and intima-media thickness. The association of deprivation with atherosclerosis is multifactorial and not adequately explained by classic or emerging risk factors.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the impact of apolipoprotein E (apoE) genotype on the response of the plasma lipoprotein profile to eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) versus docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) intervention in humans. METHODS AND RESULTS: 38 healthy normolipidaemic males, prospectively recruited on the basis of apoE genotype (n=20 E3/E3 and n=18 E3/E4), completed a double-blind placebo-controlled cross-over trial, consisting of 3x4 week intervention arms of either control oil, EPA-rich oil (ERO, 3.3g EPA/day) or DHA-rich oil (DRO, 3.7g DHA/day) in random order, separated by 10 week wash-out periods. A significant genotype-independent 28% and 19% reduction in plasma triglycerides in response to ERO and DRO was observed. For total cholesterol (TC), no significant treatment effects were evident; however a significant genotype by treatment interaction emerged (P=0.045), with a differential response to ERO and DRO in E4 carriers. Although the genotypextreatment interaction for LDL-cholesterol (P=0.089) did not reach significance, within DRO treatment analysis indicated a 10% increase in LDL (P=0.029) in E4 carriers with a non-significant 4% reduction in E3/E3 individuals. A genotype-independent increase in LDL mass was observed following DRO intervention (P=0.018). Competitive uptake studies in HepG2 cells using plasma very low density lipoproteins (VLDL) from the human trial, indicated that following DRO treatment, VLDL(2) fractions obtained from E3/E4 individuals resulted in a significant 32%(P=0.002) reduction in LDL uptake relative to the control. CONCLUSIONS: High dose DHA supplementation is associated with increases in total cholesterol in E4 carriers, which appears to be due to an increase in LDL-C and may in part negate the cardioprotective action of DHA in this population subgroup.

BACKGROUND: Circulating inflammatory markers may more strongly relate to risk of fatal versus nonfatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, but robust prospective evidence is lacking. We tested whether interleukin (IL)-6, C-reactive protein (CRP), and fibrinogen more strongly associate with fatal compared to nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke. METHODS AND FINDINGS: In the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER), baseline inflammatory markers in up to 5,680 men and women aged 70-82 y were related to risk for endpoints; nonfatal CVD (i.e., nonfatal MI and nonfatal stroke [n = 672]), fatal CVD (n = 190), death from other CV causes (n = 38), and non-CVD mortality (n = 300), over 3.2-y follow-up. Elevations in baseline IL-6 levels were significantly (p = 0.0009; competing risks model analysis) more strongly associated with fatal CVD (hazard ratio [HR] for 1 log unit increase in IL-6 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-2.12) than with risk of nonfatal CVD (1.17, 95% CI 1.04-1.31), in analyses adjusted for treatment allocation. The findings were consistent in a fully adjusted model. These broad trends were similar for CRP and, to a lesser extent, for fibrinogen. The results were also similar in placebo and statin recipients (i.e., no interaction). The C-statistic for fatal CVD using traditional risk factors was significantly (+0.017; p<0.0001) improved by inclusion of IL-6 but not so for nonfatal CVD events (p = 0.20). CONCLUSIONS: In PROSPER, inflammatory markers, in particular IL-6 and CRP, are more strongly associated with risk of fatal vascular events than nonfatal vascular events. These novel observations may have important implications for better understanding aetiology of CVD mortality, and have potential clinical relevance. Please see later in the article for Editors' Summary.

BACKGROUND: Reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is associated with increased cardiovascular risk in young and middle aged individuals. Associations with cardiovascular disease and mortality in older people are less clearly established. We aimed to determine the predictive value of the GFR for mortality and morbidity using data from the 5,804 participants randomized in the Prospective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk (PROSPER). METHODS AND FINDINGS: Glomerular filtration rate was estimated (eGFR) using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation and was categorized in the ranges ([20-40],[40-50],[50-60])>/= 60 ml/min/1.73 m(2). Baseline risk factors were analysed by category of eGFR, with and without adjustment for other risk factors. The associations between baseline eGFR and morbidity and mortality outcomes, accrued after an average of 3.2 y, were investigated using Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for traditional risk factors. We tested for evidence of an interaction between the benefit of statin treatment and baseline eGFR status. Age, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, C-reactive protein (CRP), body mass index, fasting glucose, female sex, histories of hypertension and vascular disease were associated with eGFR (p = 0.001 or less) after adjustment for other risk factors. Low eGFR was independently associated with risk of all cause mortality, vascular mortality, and other noncancer mortality and with fatal and nonfatal coronary and heart failure events (hazard ratios adjusted for CRP and other risk factors (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for eGFR < 40 ml/min/1.73m(2) relative to eGFR >/= 60 ml/min/1.73m(2) respectively 2.04 (1.48-2.80), 2.37 (1.53-3.67), 3.52 (1.78-6.96), 1.64 (1.18-2.27), 3.31 (2.03-5.41). There were no nominally statistically significant interactions (p < 0.05) between randomized treatment allocation and eGFR for clinical outcomes, with the exception of the outcome of coronary heart disease death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (p = 0.021), with the interaction suggesting increased benefit of statin treatment in subjects with impaired GFRs. CONCLUSIONS: We have established that, in an elderly population over the age of 70 y, impaired GFR is associated with female sex, with presence of vascular disease, and with levels of other risk factors that would be associated with increased risk of vascular disease. Further, impaired GFR is independently associated with significant levels of increased risk of all cause mortality and fatal vascular events and with composite fatal and nonfatal coronary and heart failure outcomes. Our analyses of the benefits of statin treatment in relation to baseline GFR suggest that there is no reason to exclude elderly patients with impaired renal function from treatment with a statin.

BACKGROUND: Patients with nephrotic range proteinuria have a marked increase in the risk of cardiovascular disease. Qualitative and quantitative changes in lipids and lipoproteins contribute to this increased risk with an abundance of atherogenic triglyceride (TG) rich apolipoprotein B containing lipoproteins. TG rich lipoproteins predominate postprandially and are associated with increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Omega-3 fatty acids derived from fish oils have been shown to have beneficial effects on lipids and lipoproteins in patients without proteinuria. METHODS: 17 patients with nephrotic range proteinuria and 17 age and sex matched controls were studied. Postprandial lipaemia was assessed in patients and controls, before and after 8 weeks treatment with 4g daily of omega-3 fatty acids (Omacor). A standard fat load (90g) was administered and blood sampling was performed in the fasting state and at 2, 4, 6 and 8h after the fat load. Chylomicrons and VLDL(1) density fraction was isolated from plasma by density ultracentrifugation. Postprandial chylomicron and VLDL(1) triglyceride concentrations were measured and quantified using the incremental area under the curve (AUC) method. RESULTS: Baseline postprandial chylomicron TG AUC was greater in patients compared with controls: median 18.5mmol/lh (interquartile range 8.9-32.6) vs 9.3mmol/lh (4.8-14.4) p=0.05. Following treatment patient chylomicron AUC fell [mean reduction 6.8mmol/lh (95% CI 0.1-13.6) p=0.05]. No significant reduction in chylomicron AUC was observed in the controls [mean reduction 3.9mmol/lh (95% CI -3.6 to 11.5)]. As a result, following 8 weeks treatment with omega-3 fatty acids, patient and control chylomicron AUC were no longer significantly different [patients 13.5mmol/lh (7.4-22.9), controls 7.2mmol/lh (4.6-14.5) both median and IQR, p=nsd]. VLDL(1) TG AUC did not differ at baseline between patients and controls. Furthermore, there was no significant effect on VLDL(1) AUC following treatment in either group. CONCLUSIONS: We have shown that there is an excess of postprandial chylomicron density fraction in patients with nephrotic range proteinuria, which is reduced by treatment with omega-3 fatty acids. We suggest that this would be an ideal therapy in combination with statins for this high risk group of patients.

Objective: To clarify the association of circulating levels of leptin with risk for CVD events and new onset diabetes in men and women. Research Design and Methods: We related baseline leptin levels to CVD events (n=864) and incident diabetes (n=289) in the elderly (n=5672) over 3.2 years follow-up. Results: In treatment, age, and country adjusted models, leptin was not associated with risk of CVD in men (HR 1.02 [95%CI 0.90-1.16] per unit log-leptin increase) or women (HR 1.05 [0.91-1.20]), but did associate with risk for diabetes in men (HR 2.75 [2.14-3.52]) and women (HR 1.54 [1.22-1.94]). After adjusting for classical risk factors, BMI, CRP and glucose, the diabetes association in men retained significance (HR 1.85 [1.30-2.63]), but not in women (HR 0.89 [0.64-1.26]). Conclusions: Leptin, like other markers of adiposity in general, is more strongly related to risk of diabetes than CVD in the elderly.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To assess recent advances in cardiovascular disease biomarkers, focusing on past failings, current promise, and areas for future work. RECENT FINDINGS: Despite intense interest in novel biomarkers, few have yet to show utility in improving cardiovascular disease risk scores as assessed by predictive statistical models. Indeed, there is current debate as to how to evaluate clinical utility. There is increasing interest in biomarkers from pathophysiological pathways other than inflammation (cardiac signals, renal function, metabolic measures, novel lipids, nutritional, etc), as well as interest in combining such markers in panels to increase cardiovascular disease risk discrimination, and in 'omics' techniques. A challenge to the biomarker concept in cardiovascular disease is the contribution of other factors - for example, socioeconomic position or family history of premature cardiovascular disease - that present cheaper and more efficient way of gaining discrimination. Some have been added already to risk score guidelines in some countries. Whether novel plasma biomarkers can add further prediction requires study. SUMMARY: The jury is still out on the ability of biomarkers to enhance risk scores in a cost-efficient way. New technologies and statistical models may optimize efforts but use of simpler lifestyle and demographic markers in recent risk scores revisions have raised the bar.